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There is a discourse which is basically "zoomers don't know how good they have it by not coming of age in the GFC" and yes congrats, grandpa, on telling us how you used to walk to school uphill both ways. Quality voter outreach
voting isn't costless, people have things to do, people who move need to register in time, places do erect hurdles for college students and others vote,etc. I mean we all understand these things except when we don't
I believe you are correct. It is hard to get enthusiastic about voting for a group you feel is morally wrong, even if that group is opposing an even more morally wrong group. It's like FDR choosing to support Stalin over Hitler. Sun Tzu would support that choice, but the average voter?
aside from the bloodthirsty bit, like all of these guys he's a fucking idiot who knows nothing
i expect this android update will, at a minimum, eat my battery faster even if I do my best to kill all that stuff
you can always find some PoliSci paper that tells you about elections "lol nothing matters" which savvy people use to say things like canvassing, yard signs, generally community outreach don't matter, but obviously something matters or campaigns wouldn't need a billion bucks
and I don't even think it's The Left, precisely, it is the Enthusiasm Thing
5 more months of "guys perhaps continuing to facilitate mass murder might make The Left less likely to vote for you, they're weird like that"
"lol if we lose it'll be the fault of The Left"
years ago there was a reasonable expectation (if not always realized) that a software/OS update would improve things and now it's more "oh god what did they make worse now"
40% is a lot, obviously if you don't win you lose, but it certainly shows it's possible.
given size of constituencies, anyone mildly good at "politics" who really puts the work in (few do, I get it, but it is possible) for a couple of years could win in lots of places (could doesn't mean WILL, just that it's possible). can't just slot in a rando at the last second and say 'vote green'
one reason to use the bully pulpit for everything is if you are watching the politics show with the sound turned down (as most people essentially do), whoever is on offense probably has a point, whoever is on defense probably did something wrong
yah a bunch of my college friends weren't especially political but they got into limbaugh's books and 'shlubby rich guy, living on a golf course, probably banging chicks' was a lot of the appeal
right you sit on your lawn with a cocktail and laugh at the lesser mortals, what losers, not get mad at them
i do think that's a way young xers/old millennials are worse than the boomers/old xers, not just thinking the new stuff is all trash, but believing it's supposed to be for them
there a lot of 'you know all the things we say are important every election? hah those things don't matter all!' happening
i think it's funny when I don't know who people are, like how am I this online and still have no idea, but it isn't AN INDICTMENT OF THE CULTURE
my other theory is they thought they'd cooked up some scheme to push bibi out in feb-march and then it didn't happen
What happens when people are told that outside influence (protest) isn't valid, and inside influence isn't valid (voting)
most politicians people want to attribute "politician skills" to actually suck but clinton and obama were exceptions and you can just wish replacements
people don't get the speculation is on the land not the building (also given the reality of construction since 1970ish or so, we need to welcome demos and rebuilds)
(adding: I suspects the data nerds do capture it in the aggregate measures, but it is also the type of thing which hits more at a certain spot on the income distribution so has a disproportionate impact on perceptions relative to that data)
A million years ago I did a blog post about how people like to talk about things as if they were monocausal but AKSHUALLY most things aren't and people seemed to think it was pretty smart tho it seemed about as banal as most things I write. Anyway, Biden's voter problems are NOT monocausal.
the thing is 'bottlenecks driving up prices' isn't precisely the same thing as 'inflation' which economists should understand but forget when convenient [colloquially inflation is 'prices going' up but inflation is more of an abstract economic concept]
joke's on you, you will still get a $5/min charge for the call time [quite possibly!]
economists know lots of things they forget [your description is not quite correct but I know what you mean and you are correct]
(economists who should know better also get mixed up in thinking about inflation in a Friedman-esque 'inflation [deflation] is always a monetary phenomenon' versus price shocks - like if the magic free energy machine came online tomorrow that would not be 'disfinflation')
the recent lectures about "disinflation is bad stupid lefties" and yes aggregate disinflation is bad but that doesn't mean price drops in certain parts of the price index are bad. "some things getting cheaper" is not disinflation (people know this they are just sophists)